Policy makers need clear recommendations on reactive strategies instead of estimates for R0 and vaccine efficacies. We can instantiate our emulator for FluTE with disease and vaccine data and present the effect of social and pharmaceutical measures with a particular selection of the emulator E.g., when an influenza strain is emerging with R0=1.8 and vaccines are produced with a protection of 60% we can formulate the following recommendations:
Without reactive measures, it is likely that 36% of the population will be infected.
Only a few imported cases are enough to start the epidemic hence (complete) isolation may delay (prevent) the epidemic.
Vaccination coverage (percentage of the population vaccinated) of 30% may result in a 55% reduction in the number of cases and 60% coverage in a 95%
reduction. A partial immune population provides indirect protection because of the interruption of transmission pathways.